No laila, hele mākou. Lawe kope. A i ʻole ka pia. ʻAʻole wau e hoʻohewa.
Maikaʻi maoli ma mua o ka hoʻomaka ʻana- koʻu ʻaoʻao mai ka wā e nīnau mau ai ka poʻe: Ua hana au me ka ʻenehana pākahiko mai ka makahiki 2016, ua hana au no ʻelua hui i banekorupa (nā manawa leʻaleʻa), kūkākūkā no ʻekolu mau mea e ola nei (ʻaʻole loa), a ke hana nei au i ka R&D no ... ʻaʻole pono paha wau e ʻōlelo akā ua lohe ʻoe iā lākou. Ua puhi au iaʻu iho me nā ahi lithium ʻelua. Mai paipai iā ia. 0/10 ʻike.
He aha ka Hell ʻO ka Paʻa Paʻa -State Battery?
Pololei pela. ʻO kāu pila kelepona? Laptop? kaʻa uila? Loaʻa ka wai i loko. ʻAʻole like me ka wai-wai, ʻoi aku ka like me... wai kemika mānoanoa. ʻO ka electrolyte organik. ʻO ka leo maikaʻi akā ʻo ka mea maʻamau he goo flammable e ʻauʻau ai nā ion lithium i hope a i waho ma waena o nā ʻaoʻao maikaʻi a me nā ʻaoʻao maikaʻi ʻole.
Hana maikaʻi! A hiki ʻole. A laila ʻaʻa i ke ahi.
Loaʻa iaʻu kahi Samsung Galaxy Note 7 i loko o kaʻu pahu pahu e mālama ai au i mea hoʻomanaʻo lmao. ʻAʻole i hoʻohuli hou ʻia ma hope o ka hoʻomanaʻo ʻana. Ua like ia me kahi paona pepa pilikia ahi.
Paʻa -kahiko=e pani ana i kēlā wai me ka paʻa.
ʻo ia wale nō. ʻO ia ka mea holoʻokoʻa.
ʻO ka ʻāpana paʻa hiki ke:
Nā mea seramika (e like me ke aniani nani akā ʻoi aku ka paʻakikī o ka hana ʻana)
Nā kaulahao polymer (e noʻonoʻo i ka plastic paʻakikī maoli akā ʻaʻole i ka plastic maoli)
ʻO nā pūhui Sulfide (ʻo kēia mau mea ʻala TERRIBLE ma ke ala, e like me nā hua pala i hoʻokahi tausani)
ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo leʻaleʻa ua aʻo au i ke ala paʻakikī - i ka hana ʻana o kekahi o kēia mau mea me ka makū o ka lewa. Like ino. Ua loaʻa iā mākou kahi haumāna puka ma 2019 i waiho i kahi laʻana electrolyte sulfide ma ka papa i ka pō. I ke kakahiaka aʻe, ua ʻino loa nā mea āpau. Aala make. ʻAʻole hiki iā mākou ke hoʻohana i kēlā lab no hoʻokahi pule.
No ke aha e haʻalele ʻole ai nā kānaka a pau iā lākou
E ka hoa, ua lohe au e pili ana i nā ʻakika paʻa -state mai... 2015? 2014? Ma kahi a puni. ʻO kēlā me kēia makahiki: "3 mau makahiki hou aku!"
Ua lilo ia i meme i loko o ke kaiāulu pākahi. E like me ka mana hui. Mau makahiki he 10.
Akā maikaʻi, aia nā kumu maoli e mālama ai:
1. ʻAʻole lākou (ʻaʻole paha) e pahū i kou alo
ʻAʻohe wai=ʻaʻohe wai hoʻolapalapa=ʻaʻohe hoʻoulu kaomi=ʻaʻohe boom.
ʻO koʻu manaʻo hiki iā lākou ke hāʻule. Ua ʻike au i ka hana ʻana. Akā, ma kahi o ka pōpō ahi e like me ka ... ho'ōki i ka hana a wela. ʻOi aku ka maikaʻi! Ua ʻike au i ka hāʻule ʻole o ka -prototype state ma ka hoʻāʻo ʻana i ka makahiki i hala a ua pehu iki a make. Me ka lithium wai -ion pono mākou e hoʻāʻo ma hope o nā pale pahū. Vibe ʻokoʻa.
2. ʻOi aku ka ikehu ma kahi hoʻokahi (manaʻo ʻia)
ʻOi aku ka nui o nā koi . 50%? 100% hou aku? ʻO wai ka mea ʻike. Ma ka pepa ka hana makemakika. I ka ʻoiaʻiʻo? E ʻike kākou.
Ke ʻōlelo mau nei ʻo Toyota e loaʻa iā lākou nā pahu 900 mile ma 2027 a i ʻole 2028 a i ʻole kekahi mea. E manaʻoʻiʻo wau ke hoʻokele maoli au i ke kaʻa. A hiki i ia manawa he vaporware.
3. Hoʻopaʻa ʻoi aku ka wikiwiki (hiki paha)
Hiki i kekahi o nā electrolytes seramika ke mālama i ke ʻano o kēia manawa me ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻole. No laila e like me 10 mau minuke piha piha.
Ua ʻike anei au i kēia hana ma kahi lab? ʻAe, i hoʻokahi manawa, ma ka ʻeke pila kālā ka nui o kaʻu kiʻi liʻiliʻi.
Ua ʻike anei au i ka hana ʻana ma ke kaʻa-ka nui? ʻAʻole. ʻAʻohe kanaka i loaʻa. ʻO nā ʻikepili hoʻohālikelike a me nā hoʻokolohua liʻiliʻi -nui.
4. ʻOi aku ka lōʻihi (manaʻo mākou)
Me ka ʻole o ka haki ʻana o ka wai, pono ʻoe e loaʻa i nā pōʻai hoʻoili hou aku. Maikaʻi ka lithium -ion maʻamau no nā pōʻai he 500-1000 ma muli o ke ʻano āu e hana ai. Pono e hana maikaʻi ke kūlana paʻa.
Eia naʻe ka mea - ʻaʻole mākou i ʻike maoli no ka mea ʻaʻohe mea hoʻohana iā lākou no 10 mau makahiki. ʻAʻole hiki ke hoʻāʻo i ka hilinaʻi lōʻihi-ma kahi lab. Pono ʻoe e kali a ʻike.
E kali he aha kā mākou e hoʻohālikelike ai i kēia?
ʻAe, pono paha wau e wehewehe i nā mea i waho i kēia manawa. ʻO koʻu ʻino.
Lithium maʻamau-Ion (He aha nā mea a pau)
ʻO kāu kelepona, laptop, kāu kaʻa paha inā he uila
Ike: ~250-300 Wh/kg (ʻo ia nā hola-watt no ka kilo, ʻāpana nerd)
Maikaʻi ke hana i kēia manawa no ka mea ua hana mau mākou
E paʻa loa ke ahi inā ʻoe e paʻi a hoʻonui paha
Hoʻopaʻa au i kahi bākeke one i loko o kaʻu keʻena keʻena keʻokeʻo
Nā Paʻa LFP (Lithium Iron Phosphate)
ʻOi aku ka palekana, ʻaʻole e wela maoli ke ahi inā ʻoe e hoʻāʻo
ʻOi aku ka liʻiliʻi o ka ikehu ma mua o - ma kahi o 160-180 Wh/kg
Hoʻopaʻa ʻia ʻo FOREVER e like me 3000+ uku
ʻOi aku ka maikaʻi ma mua o nā ʻano lithium ʻē aʻe
ʻO kēia ka mea i loko o ke kumu hoʻohālike o Tesla i kēia manawa aʻu e manaʻo nei? Mai haʻi mai iaʻu ma ia mea
NMC/NCA
Nickel Manganese Cobalt a i ʻole Nickel Cobalt Aluminum
Hana kiʻekiʻe, 250-280 Wh / kg
Hoʻohana i ka cobalt kahi ... ʻae aia nā pilikia hana keiki ma Kongo, nā mea ʻē aʻe
ʻOi aku ka pipiʻi
ʻOi aku ka maikaʻi o ka hana inā ʻaʻole hoʻopunipuni
Mokuʻāina Paʻa -(The Mythical Creature)
NUI 400-500 Wh/kg
ʻOi aku ke kumukūʻai i kēia manawa
ʻO ka hanaʻana he mea kilokiloʻeleʻele i kēia manawa
ʻOi aku ka palekana akā ʻaʻole lawa kā mākou ʻikepili
He aha ka mea maikaʻi e pili ana iā lākou?
E nānā, kanalua wau i ka nui o nā mea akā na'e, loa'a nā pōmaika'i maoli. ʻAʻole e hoʻohālike ʻē aʻe.
ʻOi aku ka maikaʻi o ka palekana.
Ua hoʻāʻo pilikino au i nā ʻano ʻelua. Me ka lithium -ion maʻamau, hoʻohana mākou i nā pale maka a loaʻa nā mea kinai ahi ma nā wahi a pau. Me nā -prototypes paʻa? E akahele aka nae e emi mai ka ikehu "pahu paha keia".
I ka mahina i hala, ua loaʻa iā mākou kahi kaapuni pōkole kelepona hoʻāʻo. Ua wela ka -mea paʻa a pau ka hana. Inā he lithium -iona mau ia, inā ua loa'a iā mākou ke ahi.
He mea maoli ka nui / kaumaha inā hāʻawi lākou.
ʻO 400 Wh/kg i ka hana ʻana he mea hoʻololi maoli. Hiki ke kaumaha ke kaumaha o kāu pila EV no ka laulima like. A i ʻole ke kaumaha hoʻokahi, pālua ka laulā.
Akā he IF nui kēlā. ʻAʻole unuhi mau nā hopena lab i ka hana. ʻAʻole lākou unuhi.
Pono e ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka hana wela.
Hana nā electrolytes paʻa i nā pae wela ākea ma mua o ka wai. ʻO kāu pākahiko kaʻa ma Chicago hoʻoilo ma -20 degere F? Pono e hana maikaʻi. ʻO ke kauwela ʻo Arizona ma 120 degere F? ʻOi aku ka maikaʻi.
ʻOiai ka moʻolelo leʻaleʻa - pono e mālama pono ʻia kekahi mau electrolytes seramika i mea e hana maikaʻi ai. No laila pono ʻoe i kahi mea hoʻomehana no kāu pākaukau. Ka mea e hoʻohana i ka mana. ʻAno pio ke kumu lol.
ʻAʻohe dendrites.
Aia kēia i loko o ka baseball akā he aha. Ke hoʻopiʻi ʻoe i nā ʻeke lithium, hiki ke ulu i nā wili metala liʻiliʻi i kapa ʻia nā dendrites mai kekahi electrode a i kekahi. ʻO ka hope e hou lākou i ka mea hoʻokaʻawale a pōkole i ka pākaukau. ʻO ia ke ʻano o ka make ʻana o ka hapa nui o nā pākahi lithium-ion.
Pono nā electrolytes paʻa e ālai i nā dendrites. ʻO nā mea paʻakikī, ʻaʻole hiki ke hou aku. Ma ke kumumanaʻo.
Ma ka hana? ʻĒ. Ua ʻike mākou i ka ulu ʻana o nā dendrites ma o kekahi mau electrolytes paʻa. Paʻakikī ka ʻepekema waiwai.
ʻO nā pilikia a ka poʻe a pau e nānā ʻole (But I won't)
ʻAe, e hoʻopaʻa i luna no ka mea eia wau e huhū ai i kekahi poʻe.
ʻAʻole lākou e hana i kēia manawa.
E kala mai iaʻu! ʻoiaʻiʻo! ʻO ka hapa nui o nā ʻakika paʻa -ʻano "breakthrough" āu i heluhelu ai ma nā hoʻolaha paʻi? Hana lākou no 10 mau pōʻai. He 50 paha inā laki ʻoe. Ma nā kūlana lab kūpono. Ma kahi o 25 degere. Me ka makani mālie mai ka hikina hikina.
Pono kāu pilahi kaʻa e hana no 1000+ pōʻai ma Minnesota hoʻoilo a me Texas kauwela a me nā wahi a pau ma waena. ʻAʻole mākou i kokoke i ka nui.
Aia wau i kahi hālāwai kūkā i ka makahiki i hala (Battery Symposium ma Orlando, Malaki 2024) a ʻike wau i kahi hōʻike mai kahi hoʻomaka e koi ana i 500 cycles. Hele i ko lakou hale lole ma hope. Nīnau ʻia no nā kikoʻī. Ua noho mālie maoli lākou me ka wikiwiki. Ua hoʻololi ʻia kēlā mau pōʻaiapuni 500 ma 0.1C ka uku uku me 4 mau hola ma waena o nā uku. ʻAʻole pono no nā noi maoli.
ʻO ka hanaʻana he moeʻuhane weliweli.
Ua hoʻohana mākou i 30+ mau makahiki e noʻonoʻo ana i ka hana ʻana i nā ʻeke lithium-ion maʻalahi a hilinaʻi. ʻO nā hale hana, nā mea hana, ka mana o ka maikaʻi - ua hoʻopaʻa ʻia.
Kūlana paʻa{0}}? E hoʻomaka ana mai ka ʻōpala.
Nā lako like ʻole. Nā hana likeʻole. Nā ʻano hāʻule like ʻole. ʻOi aku ka paʻakikī o nā mea a pau.
Ua kamaʻilio wau me kekahi kanaka mai QuantumScape i ka mahina i hala aku nei (ʻo māua ʻelua ma ke kahua mokulele, makemake ʻo ia i 3 mau pia, kamaʻilio kamaʻilio) a ʻōlelo ʻo ia ʻo kā lākou pilikia nui ʻaʻole ʻo ka ʻenehana hou. Ke noʻonoʻo nei ia pehea e hana ai i nā ʻeke 10,000 i like like. ʻO ke kūpaʻa ma ka pālākiō he paʻakikī loa.
ʻO ka pilikia interface ke pepehi nei i nā mea a pau.
He ʻenehana akā koʻikoʻi kēia: kahi e pā ai ka electrolyte paʻa i ka electrode paʻa, loaʻa iā ʻoe ke kūʻē. Ua like ia me ka ho'āʻo ʻana e hoʻoheheʻe i ka uila ma waena o ʻelua mau ʻili ʻili i kaomi pū ʻia. ʻAʻole pili nui.
Me ka wai electrolyte, hoʻopiha ka wai i nā āpau microscopic āpau. Pili pono ma nā wahi a pau. Me ka paʻa-ma-paʻa? ʻAʻole nui loa.
Ke ho'āʻo nei nā kānaka i nā mea a pau: nā uhi kūikawā, ka hoʻohanaʻana i ke kaomi, ka hoʻomehanaʻana, nā mea hou, nā papa mōhai, nā'āpana pale. ʻAʻohe mea i hana maikaʻi loa. Hoʻokumu kēlā me kēia hoʻonā i nā pilikia hou.
Pohā lākou a ʻino loa kēlā.
ʻO nā electrolytes paʻa seramika he palupalu. Ke hoʻopiʻi nā pākaukau, pehu iki lākou. Hoʻokuʻu, emi lākou. E hana i kēia 1000 mau manawa a hiki i kāu keramika ke haki.
Hoʻokahi pāhaʻi liʻiliʻi=make. Komo ka wai, hāʻule ka hana, pau ka pāʻani.
Ua ʻike au i nā pūnaewele kūlana paʻa -paʻa maikaʻi i hana maikaʻi no 50 pōʻaiapuni, a laila pohā, a laila hoʻōki i ka hana. Hoʻohaʻahaʻa puʻuwai. A pipiʻi.
ʻAʻole maʻalahi nā electrolytes polymer akā he haʻahaʻa ko lākou conductivity ionic. Kūʻai mau{1}}offs.
Makemake au e uē ke kumukūʻai.
Hoʻokomo ka manaʻo manaʻo o kēia manawa i nā ʻakika paʻa-state ma 10-20x o ke kumu kūʻai o ka lithium-ion maʻamau. Per kWh.
ʻAe, e iho mai nā kumukūʻai me ka unahi. Hana mau lākou. Akā ke kamaʻilio nei mākou i nā MAKAHIKI o ka hoʻomohala ʻana a me nā BILLIONS i ka hoʻopukapuka kālā ma mua o ka loaʻa ʻana o ke kumukūʻai parity.
ʻO ke kumu kūʻai o 4680 Tesla e like me $100/kWh. He $1000/kWh paha ke kūlana paʻa i kēia manawa. ʻOi aku paha. ʻAʻohe mea hoʻolaha i nā helu maoli no ka mea hilahila lākou.
ʻO wai ka mea e hana nei i kēia mau mea? (A ʻO wai e kamaʻilio wale nei)
ʻAe, e pōʻino paha kēia no ka mea aia nā hui e like me 50+ e ʻōlelo nei "e pili ana lākou i ka hoʻololi ʻana i nā ʻaniani" akā e ʻae mai iaʻu e nānā i ka mea e hana maoli nei:
QuantumScape- Aia paha ka mamao loa no nā polokalamu kaʻa. Ke hoʻohana nei i ka mea hoʻokaʻawale keramika. Kākoʻo ʻia e VW a me Bill Gates. Ua piʻi kā lākou waiwai mai $130 a i $10. Auwe. Akā ke hana nei lākou a ua hōʻike i nā hopena hoʻāʻo maikaʻi. Ke hoʻomau nei ka paheʻe ʻana o ka manawa ʻoiai ʻo ia ka ... pili akā maoli nō hoʻi? ʻAʻole maopopo iaʻu pehea e manaʻo ai iā lākou me ka ʻoiaʻiʻo.
Mana Paa- Ua kākoʻo ʻia ʻo BMW a me Ford. Sulfide electrolyte. ʻO ka hope aʻu i lohe ai aia nō lākou i nā pilikia hana. Ua paheʻe pū ko lākou manawa. Paheʻe ka papa manawa o kēlā me kēia kanaka. ʻO ia ka leʻaleʻa punahele a ka ʻoihana pākaukau.
Samsung SDI- LOA IA lakou i na batika pa'a-i ka hana ana! Akā nā mea liʻiliʻi. No nā lole komo. Nā mea lapaʻau. Hearables (ʻae he huaʻōlelo kēlā i kēia manawa). Kaʻa-mea nui? Ke kūkulu nei nō. 'Ōlelo lākou 2027. 'Ōlelo wau i ka 2029-2030 maoli.
Toyota- E ke keiki. Ke hoʻohiki nei ʻo Toyota i nā holomua pākaukau paʻa-ma mua o koʻu hoʻomaka ʻana e hana ma kēia kahua. Hoʻopili lākou i nā patent ma mua o nā mea ʻē aʻe. Hana lākou i nā hoʻolaha nui i kēlā me kēia makahiki. Akā naʻe ... ʻaʻohe huahana.
Makemake au e manaʻoʻiʻo iā lākou. ʻO Toyota lākou. ʻIke lākou i ka hana ʻana. Akā, e hoʻopunipuni iaʻu i kekahi manawa, hilahila iā ʻoe. Hoʻopunipuni iaʻu i 47 mau manawa...
Ua ʻōlelo lākou ʻo 2025, a laila 2027, i kēia manawa ʻo 2027-2028. E kau au i ke kālā ma 2030 liʻiliʻi.
Nissan- ʻO ka noho mālie ʻana no ia mea aʻu i mahalo maoli ai. E ʻōlelo lākou e loaʻa iā lākou ka hana hoʻokele ma 2024-2025. ʻOi aku ka manawa kūpono ma mua o kekahi. Ke hana nei me NASA ma kekahi mau mea aʻu i manaʻo ai? Mai haʻi mai iaʻu.
CATL- Hui Kina, ka mea hana paani nui loa o ka honua. Ke neʻe lākou, ʻike nā mea a pau. Ke hana nei lākou ma ka ʻāina paʻa-akā ʻaʻole i mālama ʻia me nā wānana. ʻO ia kaʻu e hilinaʻi nui ai iā lākou. ʻIke lākou i ka pae hana. ʻIke lākou i ka mea paʻakikī.
StoreDot- Ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka ʻIseraʻela, ka manaʻo hoʻopaʻa wikiwiki loa. Nā hōʻike hōʻikeʻike. ʻO ka scaling ka nīnau. ʻO ka nīnau mau.
Aia pū kekahi Factorial Energy, ProLogium, Ionic Materials, Sakuu, Blue Current, Ilika... literally mau kakini hou aku. E hāʻule ka hapa nui. Pela wale no ka hana ana. ʻO ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka pākaukau e like me ka 5% kūleʻa kūleʻa.
Hiki iā ʻoe ke kūʻai i hoʻokahi i kēia manawa?
Pane pōkole:ʻAʻole.
Pane lōʻihi aku:ʻAʻole naʻe, inā ʻaʻole ʻoe e kūʻai i kahi prototype EV no $500k+ a i ʻole kekahi pākaukau kūikawā liʻiliʻi no nā mea lapaʻau.
Pane ʻoi aku ka lōʻihi:Loaʻa iā Samsung kekahi mau ʻaniani paʻa -state akā he pipiʻi a liʻiliʻi. Ke kamaʻilio nei mākou e like me ka nui o ke kelepona. ʻAʻole pono no ka hapa nui o nā noi.
ʻO nā huahana mea kūʻai maoli mua me ka -ʻano paʻa, ʻo ia paha:
Nā polokalamu kelepona maikaʻi- Makemake ʻo Samsung a i ʻole Apple i nā kuleana kaena. "Ke kelepona paʻa paʻa mua loa-!" Kūʻai nui. 2026-2027 paha.
Nā EV hana kaupalena{0} Koina $200k. E hōʻoia i ka hana ʻenehana. 2027-2028.
Paikikala -e{1}}e ki'eki'e- ʻOi aku ka maʻalahi o ka pākaukau liʻiliʻi. 2026?
Makeke lehulehu? Kanaka ʻaʻole au i ʻike. 2030 i ka wā ma mua. Malia paha 2032-2035 e palekana. A ʻo ia hoʻi, ʻo ka "mākeke nui" paha ke ʻano o ka "hoʻonui koho no $10k."
Ke kuhi nei paha au. Akā, ua hoka au i nā manawa he nui.
He aha kā lākou e hoʻohana ʻia ai?
I kēia manawa? ʻO ka hapa nui o nā hōʻike PowerPoint.
Akā me ke koʻikoʻi:
Na Kaa Uila- 'O kēia ka mea a ka po'e a pau e mana'o nei e pili ana i. 500+ mile, 10-minuke ka ho'ouka 'ana, māmā, palekana. E hoʻololi maoli i ka mākeke EV. IF hiki mai.
Kelepona a me Laptops- E noʻonoʻo ʻoe i 2 mau lā piha kāu kelepona me ka hoʻohana nui ʻana. A i ʻole ka hapalua o ka mānoanoa. A i ʻole e loaʻa hou nā kūlana Samsung Note 7. ʻO ia ka moeʻuhane.
Lapaau Lapaau- Ma kēia kahi i hoʻohana ʻia ai kekahi mau ʻeke paʻa -state! Pono ka poʻe pacemakers i nā ʻaʻa ʻaʻole 100% e hāʻule a i ʻole e kahe i loko o kou kino. He kūpono ke kūlana paʻa -no kēia. ʻAʻole pono ke kumukūʻai, palekana ka mea āpau.
Nā Drones/Lewa- Pono nā mokulele uila i ka ikehu kiʻekiʻe loa. He mea nui kēlā me kēia gram. Hiki i -state paʻa ke hana i ka lele uila ma mua o nā drones liʻiliʻi.
Waihona mānoanoa- Malia paha? Akā ʻoiaʻiʻo no ka mālama paʻa ʻana, ʻaʻohe mea nui ke kaumaha. He maʻalahi a palekana ka LFP. Paʻakikī e paʻi i ke kumukūʻai. Pono ka mokuʻāina paʻa -e loaʻa i ke kumu kūʻai maʻalahi no ka hoʻokūkū ma ʻaneʻi.
Pono ʻoe e kali i ka Mokuʻāina -paʻa ma mua o ke kūʻai ʻana i EV?
Ke nīnau mau nei au i kēia. Ma nā pāʻina (hele nā ʻenekinia pākahi i nā pāʻina maikaʻi), ma nā ʻaha kūkā, nā ʻohana pili ʻole ma Facebook.
Pane: ʻAʻole. Mai kali.
Inā makemake ʻoe i kahi EV i kēia manawa, kūʻai i kahi EV i kēia manawa. Maikaʻi maoli nā EV o kēia manawa! Model 3, Ioniq 5, F-150 Uila, nā koho paʻa a pau. ʻenehana hōʻoia. ʻIke ʻia ka hilinaʻi.
I ka wā e loaʻa ai nā EV paʻa -kumu kūʻai kūpono:
Ua ho'okele 'oe i kāu EV i kēia manawa no 5+ makahiki
E lilo ana ka ʻenehana i ka hanauna mua-me nā pilikia ʻike ʻole ʻia
E ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i nā ʻōnaehana
Ua hāʻule paha nā kumukūʻai EV i hoʻohana ʻia
Inā ʻoe e hoʻolālā nei e kūʻai i ka hopena o 2027 a i ʻole 2028? A laila e kali paha e ʻike i ka mea i hoʻokuʻu ʻia. Akā, mai hoʻopaʻa i kou ola.
Ke hoʻomaikaʻi mau nei ka ʻenehana. Aia kekahi mea maikaʻi e hiki mai ana "koke." ʻAʻole hiki ke kali mau loa.
Ua kali au e kūʻai i kahi TV 4K a hiki i 2019. E ʻike i ka mea i hana? Ua maʻalahi lākou a ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi. Akā ʻaʻohe aʻu TV 4K no 6 mau makahiki. Ua waiwai anei ia? ʻOiaʻiʻo... ʻaʻole. Pono e kūʻai wale i hoʻokahi.
He wahaheʻe nā helu density ikehu (ʻano o)
ʻAʻole wahaheʻe. Aka, alakai hewa.
Ke hoʻolei nei kēlā me kēia kanaka i nā helu hoʻopaʻapaʻa ikehu. "400 Wh/kg!" "500 Wh/kg!" "900 Wh/kg!"
Eia ka mea ʻaʻole lākou e haʻi iā ʻoe:
Nā CELLS lithium -ion i kēia manawa: 250-300 Wh/kg
PĀKIKA lithium-iona i kēia manawa: 150-200 Wh/kg
ʻIke i ka ʻokoʻa? Aia i loko o ka ʻeke ka casing, ka hoʻoluʻu, ka wili, nā ʻōnaehana hoʻokele pākaukau. E like me ka 30-40% o ka paona pākaukau ʻaʻole ia he pākaukau.
Nā koi -kūlana paʻa CELL: 400-500 Wh/kg
ʻOiaʻiʻo paʻa-kūlana PACK: ʻO wai ka mea ʻike? 250-350 Wh/kg paha?
No laila ke ʻōlelo nei ʻo Toyota "ʻelua ʻelua ka nui o ka ikehu!" ke hoʻohālikelike nei lākou i nā helu kelepona maikaʻi loa-me nā helu pūʻolo o kēia manawa. ʻAʻole nā'ōleʻa i nā'ōleʻa.
ʻO ka hoʻomaikaʻi maoli ʻana i ka pae pack he 50-75%. ʻO ka mea maikaʻi loa! Nui maoli! ʻAʻole naʻe i hōʻike ʻia ka revolution marketing.
ʻAʻole hoʻi ʻo ka nui o ka ikehu ka mea āpau. He mea nui ka mana (pehea ka wikiwiki o kou hoʻokuʻu ʻana). He mea nui ke ola pōʻaiapuni. Hana wela. ʻO ke kumu kūʻai no ka kWh ka mea nui loa no ka hoʻokomo nui ʻana.
ʻOi aku ka ʻino o ka pākaukau i $2000/kWh me 500 Wh/kg ma mua o ka pākaukau e kūʻai ana i $100/kWh me 250 Wh/kg. No ka hapanui o nā noi.
ʻO kaʻu mau ʻōlelo paipai maoli
Inā he kanaka maʻamau ʻoe:Poina i kēia manawa paʻa -state. E kūʻai i nā mea āu e pono ai me ka ʻenehana o kēia manawa. Hana maikaʻi.
Inā kūʻai ʻoe i EV ma 2025-2026:E kūʻai me ka lithium-ion o kēia manawa. Mai kali. ʻAʻole hiki koke mai ka EV kūpono loa.
Inā he mea hoʻopukapuka ʻoe:ʻO kēia ka pilikia nui, ka uku kiʻekiʻe. Makemake wau i nā mea pāʻani i hoʻokumu ʻia (Samsung, Toyota, CATL) ma luna o nā hoʻomaka. Akā ʻo wau wale nō. Hiki ia'u ke pilikia-no ka mea, ua nui loa ka'u mea i ike i ka nui o na mea hookuku paani i ulia a wela. Ma kekahi hihia.
Inā he ʻenekinia ʻoe:E komo i kēia kahua! He mea paʻakikī e like me ka pōʻino akā hoihoi maoli. E hoʻomākaukau wale no ka holomua lohi a me ka nui o nā hopena make.
Inā hoʻolālā ʻoe e kūʻai ma 2027-2028:E hoʻomaka i ka nānā ʻana i ka mea nāna e hoʻopuka i nā hoʻolaha. Aia kaʻu kālā ma Samsung a ʻo Nissan paha.
He aha ʻAʻole e hana ai:Mai kūʻai aku i nā "paʻa paʻa-ʻokoʻa i loaʻa i kēia manawa!" mai nā pūnaewele sketchy. Ke wahahee nei lakou. Inā he ʻoiaʻiʻo, aia ia ma nā hale kūʻai nūhou nui a mai nā mea hana nui.
ʻAe, a ʻo kekahi mea hou aʻe: Inā makemake ʻoe i nā pākahi i kēia manawa a makemake ʻoe i kahi mea ma waena o ka lithium -ion maʻamau a me ka moeʻuhane paʻa-state? Nānā i lokonā pākahi polimer lithium. ʻAʻole lākou paʻa-akā ua ʻoi aku ka palekana ma mua o ka liʻiliʻi maʻamau, ʻaʻole e kahe, a hiki ke loaʻa iā ʻoe i kēia lā. Hoʻohana ʻia i nā ton o nā mea RC a me kekahi mau kelepona. ʻAʻole kipi akā loaʻa maoli lol.
